
Every week T-Roc will share his thoughts on what is going on in college football, make picks and fire back at your nasty comments. Want to learn more about him, check out his first post or visit his archive.
Well this was planned poorly, wasn’t it?!?
I write these blurbs on Tuesday nights, usually parked in front of the TV with betting spreadsheets scattered all around me. Now that it’s October, you’d think I could count on a game the tube, but no, it’s the deadest fucking sports day since MLB’s All-Star break.
I know FAU and Troy are playing somewhere on the airwaves but I’d need a satellite dish attached to each ear and an antenna coming out of my ass if I wanted feed from any of the ESPN2 in this neck of the woods.
No baseball ‘til Thursday and the same’s to be said of NHL hockey that matters. So fuck all y’all, I’m typing this one in the bedroom and toggling between football and porn sites.
All numbers are from Pinnaclesports.com from (a fucking dead) Tuesday night.
East Carolina at Virginia, Saturday, noon ET: East Carolina -5 ½
What would this line have been a month ago? Both team’s most recent results (East Carolina’s loss to Houston and Virginia’s shutout win over Maryland) gives the Pirates value coming off a bye week.
Skip Holtz will have his boys primed and early bettors sense it - the spread should be up to a touchdown by game day. The Cavs were the ones with something to prove last week - now it’s the Pirates’ turn.
Minnesota at Illinois, Saturday, noon ET: Illinois -12
Another “Get it before it’s gone!” line. The Illini opened at -11 and should be close to -14 by kickoff. It’s not a great idea to look too far back in history, but could you imagine seeing this line a year ago?

The Golden Gophers currently have the better overall record but it’s a mirage. Last Saturday’s trouncing in the Big House revealed the Illinois offense we’ve waited to see.
Michigan State at Northwestern, Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET: Northwestern +1
Jesus, another opening line too good to be true - what was going on in Vegas on Sunday? Undefeated Northwestern opened as a 3-point underdog but could be favoured by Saturday.
The Wildcats are the Big Ten’s answer to Vanderbilt, only without the hype. They can finally take down a ranked opponent this weekend and I like their run defence and fresh legs.
Iowa State at Baylor, Saturday, 7 p.m. ET: Baylor -4 ½
Everyone’s talking about Iowa State’s road losing streak because last week’s nailbiter against Kansas hints that Waco is the perfect place to end the misery.

Guess again, buckeroos. Baylor opened as the justifiable favourite and has the early money behind them. Fun fact: the Cyclones are 0-8 in Big 12 road games since 2006 with each loss being by at least two touchdowns.
Midd. Tenn. St. at Florida Int’l, Saturday, 7 p.m. ET: Midd. Tenn. St. +2
Yeah, yeah, FIU’s won two straight, but this is the Blue Raiders, not the (not so) Mean Green. A mercy rule would’ve ended last year’s laugher in Murfreesboro before half (MTSU led 47-0 at the break).
This is the same Raiders squad that beat Maryland and Sun Belt preseason faves FAU. They also have four additional days of rest under their belts, thanks to a Tuesday game in Week 6. Solid gold nuts-in-a-vice lock of the millenium.
Boise State at Southern Mississippi, Saturday, 8 p.m. ET: Boise State -11 ½
I don’t know how much blame to lay on new head coach Larry Fedora, but things in Hattiesburg just ain’t been the same since Jeff Bower was shown the door. The Golden Eagles have lost consecutive home games to inferior C-USA opponents and the kids are a dejected mess.

It won’t help that they’re about to get whupped by a fantastic Boise State squad, which brings far more than the Ian Johnson show on offense.
Last week: 4-2 ATS
Year-to-date: 20-15-1 ATS
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4 Responses
What about OU-Texas and OSU-MIzzou? Those are the weeks two biggest games!
And LSU/Florida’s huge too. I know, dude, but I’m picking the lines where I see the most value. The OU/Texas game was sitting on a touchdown while OSU/Mizzou was stuck on 14 points when I was making these picks (both have since budged a half-point). With lines like that, I was happy just to watch the games with no money on the line.
I’ll take OSU +14. They may not win the game, but they will keep up in the shootout. This may very well be the highest scoring game of the year. I think both teams score 40+ points.
…we’ll see though OSU really hasn’t played anybody yet.
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